What is the immigration court grant rate for Eritrea nationals?

Eritrea nationals have an asylum grant rate of 66.6% across 3,671 merits decisions in US immigration courts, based on DOJ EOIR data.

How many immigration court cases involve Eritrea nationals?

Eritrea is a heavy-corpus nationality with 3,671 asylum merits decisions FY2015–2025 (2,446 granted, 1,225 denied) - #22 of 196 by caseload.

Do grant rates vary by immigration court for Eritrea nationals?

Yes. Eritrea's 66.6% national-row rate already sits well above the 48.3% overall average; court-level spreads can widen that further depending on judge mix and case type.

Is this data predictive of individual case outcomes?

No. These are aggregate historical statistics from DOJ EOIR records. Individual case outcomes depend on the specific facts, the judge assigned, the type of relief sought, country conditions, and whether you have legal representation. Consult a licensed immigration attorney for advice on your case.

By Nationality

Asylum outcomes by nationality · FY2015–2025

Eritrea: US Asylum Outcomes

Name: Eritrea US Immigration Court Outcomes
Creator: PlainImmigration
Published: 2025-09-30
License: https://creativecommons.org/publicdomain/zero/1.0/

Signature read: Eritrea runs +18.3 pp above the 48.3% national average, the strongest gap stamp on this page. Merits volume is heavy-corpus at 3,671 decisions FY2015–2025 (#22 of 196).

Compiled by PlainImmigration

Data updated 2026-09-05

66.6%
Asylum grant rate: 33.4%
Asylum denial rate: 3,671
Asylum decisions

Eritrea in one line

Eritrea's asylum grant rate is 66.6% (mid-band grant rate, above the 48.3% national average) across 3,671 FY2015-2025 merits decisions (heavy-corpus volume).

66.6%
Asylum grant rate · Mid-band grant rate: 3,671
Merits decisions · Heavy-corpus volume: +18.3 pp
vs. national average: 33.4%
Asylum denial rate

Eritrea nationals' merits outcome mix

3,671merits decisions FY2015–2025

Granted2,446(67%)Denied1,225(33%)

Statistical data only. These are aggregate historical rates, not predictions for individual cases. Outcomes vary significantly by court, judge, case type, and legal representation. Consult a licensed immigration attorney.

Eritrea vs all nationalities by asylum grant rate

Where this nationality's FY2015–2025 asylum grant rate sits among every tracked nationality (a case-outcome measure, not a quality ranking)

66.6% 66th of 196 higher than 130 of 196 nationalities

Nationalities, banded by asylum grant rate

Each bar is a band; taller bars hold more nationalities. The dashed line + filled bar mark this entry. Hover or tap any bar for its full count and share, and where it sits relative to this entry.

Source DOJ EOIR asylum merits decisions · FY2015–2025

Eritrea grant-rate neighbors

Asylum grant rates for nationalities whose FY2015–2025 merits rate is closest to Eritrea (ABS gap), not the same top-volume strip on every page. Eritrea is highlighted; the thin line marks the 48.3% national average.

Iran

69.4%

Turkey

68.8%

Cameroon

68.0%

Eritrea

66.6%

Romania

65.3%

Myanmar (Burma)

64.9%

Uzbekistan

64.4%

Algeria

64.2%

Palestine

64.1%

Bangladesh

64.0%

Georgia

64.0%

Tajikistan

63.9%

Nationalities with a similar asylum caseload

Heavy-corpus nationality peers by merits volume, orthogonal to the ABS(grant-rate) neighbors above.

Ethiopia · 3,487 merits · 75.4% grant
Dominican Republic · 3,280 merits · 49.0% grant
Pakistan · 3,263 merits · 63.7% grant
Senegal · 3,263 merits · 42.2% grant

Heavy-corpus nationality Eritrea: 3,671 FY2015–2025 merits in DOJ EOIR FOIA data. Statistical information only, not legal advice.

Read our methodology - how Eritrea's 3,671-decision EOIR nationality row is sourced, computed, and verified.

DOJ Executive Office for Immigration Review (EOIR) FOIA bulk case data for Eritrea nationals; gap vs national average +18.3 pp. PlainImmigration computed grant/denial aggregates FY2015–FY2025; Merits volume is heavy-corpus at 3,671 decisions FY2015–2025 (#22 of 196).

Source: U.S. EOIR, Immigration Court Statistics Eritrea asylum merits outcomes FY2015–2025 · 2025 Accessed 2026-09-05

Every figure on PlainImmigration is rendered directly from federal immigration court records, no number is typed in by an editor. Eritrea's grant-rate and caseload figures are recomputed live from the EOIR case-level extract on every request, never hand-typed. See our editorial standards & corrections policy, the methodology behind these numbers, or report a data error. Data current as of 2026-09-05.