Asylum outcomes by nationality · FY2015–2025

Mexico: US Asylum Outcomes

Signature read: Mexico runs -15.8 pp versus the 48.3% national average, the strongest gap stamp on this page. Merits volume is heavy-corpus at 75,320 decisions FY2015–2025 (#4 of 196).

Data updated 2026-09-05

32.5%
Asylum grant rate
67.5%
Asylum denial rate
75,320
Asylum decisions

Mexico in one line

Mexico's asylum grant rate is 32.5% (lower-third grant rate, below the 48.3% national average) across 75,320 FY2015-2025 merits decisions (heavy-corpus volume).

32.5%
Asylum grant rate · Lower-third grant rate
75,320
Merits decisions · Heavy-corpus volume
-15.8 pp
vs. national average
67.5%
Asylum denial rate
Statistical data only. Mexico's 67.5% denial-leaning history often tracks case mix and representation gaps, not a forecast for a future merits hearing. Consult a licensed immigration attorney.

Mexico vs all nationalities by asylum grant rate

Where this nationality's FY2015–2025 asylum grant rate sits among every tracked nationality (a case-outcome measure, not a quality ranking)

32.5% 168th of 196 higher than 28 of 196 nationalities

Nationalities, banded by asylum grant rate

Each bar is a band; taller bars hold more nationalities. The dashed line + filled bar mark this entry. Hover or tap any bar for its full count and share, and where it sits relative to this entry.

Source DOJ EOIR asylum merits decisions · FY2015–2025

Mexico grant-rate neighbors

Lower-third grant-rate neighbors for Mexico (32.5%): ABS-closest nationalities on the FY2015–2025 merits ladder, with the 48.3% national average marked.

Laos
36.8%
Bolivia
36.7%
Guatemala
36.4%
Philippines
35.2%
Honduras
35.1%
Jamaica
34.4%
El Salvador
34.2%
Mexico
32.5%
Brazil
32.0%
Spain
32.0%
Guyana
29.1%

Nationalities with a similar asylum caseload

Heavy-corpus nationality peers by merits volume, orthogonal to the ABS(grant-rate) neighbors above.

  • Guatemala · 89,544 merits · 36.4% grant
  • El Salvador · 91,626 merits · 34.2% grant
  • Honduras · 92,313 merits · 35.1% grant
  • China · 49,211 merits · 77.9% grant

Heavy-corpus nationality Mexico: 75,320 FY2015–2025 merits in DOJ EOIR FOIA data. Statistical information only, not legal advice.

DOJ Executive Office for Immigration Review (EOIR) FOIA bulk case data for Mexico nationals; gap vs national average -15.8 pp. PlainImmigration computed grant/denial aggregates FY2015–FY2025; Merits volume is heavy-corpus at 75,320 decisions FY2015–2025 (#4 of 196).

Source: U.S. EOIR, Immigration Court Statistics Mexico asylum merits outcomes FY2015–2025 · 2025

Every figure on PlainImmigration is rendered directly from federal immigration court records, no number is typed in by an editor. Mexico's grant-rate and caseload figures are recomputed live from the EOIR case-level extract on every request, never hand-typed. See our editorial standards & corrections policy, the methodology behind these numbers, or report a data error. Data current as of 2026-09-05.